Cheap tickets to Europe, Australia plentiful; carriers may pay a price
Desperate
to sell seats on increasingly empty jetliners,
airlines are slashing airfares to prime overseas
destinations in Europe and Australia.
The blue-light specials for international travel
are broad and, in a break from recent years,
touch tourist hot spots like London and Paris
for summer flights that usually sell out early
and command top dollar.
It's a sign that the swift, troubling plunge in
demand for international air travel that began
last fall is worsening and extending through the
peak summer travel months, when airlines
historically have garnered the bulk of their
profits.
"We're seeing a major distressed airfare sale,"
said Tom Parsons, editor and founder of
BestFares.com. "It's definitely a flier's
market."
Bargain hunters can
travel from Chicago to Sydney for $947 in July,
57 percent less than they would have paid a year
ago, according to BestFares.com. An economy seat
to London is available for $802, including fees,
down 36 percent from 2008 rates, while airfare
to Paris has been slashed 43 percent.
Prices are even lower for consumers with the
means and flexibility to hit the skies this
month. A host of carriers are offering
round-trip tickets from Newark, N.J., to London
for less than $90, although costs total $450
when taxes and fuel charges are included,
according to Vayama.com. Other steals include
Los Angeles to Munich, Germany, for a total of
$568, and Miami to Lima, Peru, for $411.
While such deals may be alluring to consumers,
industry watchers worry the deep discounts pose
a new financial threat to the perpetually ailing
U.S. airline industry, especially since
international travel has been a major
contributor to their profits over the past five
years.
"This is unprecedented," said Jean Covelli,
president of The Travel
Team Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of
Buffalo-based conglomerate Rich Products Corp.
"I think we might be seeing a forever-changed
industry when we come out on the other side of
this in terms of mergers, consolidation,
frequencies and the routing of flights, with
perhaps a number of cities being cut out of air
service."
Airlines are being hurt by a falloff in
international traffic and fewer numbers of
corporate travelers paying premiums to purchase
business- or first-class seats. Los Angeles
aerospace executive
Tom Lee, who normally hops the globe several
times a month visiting suppliers and customers,
hasn't ventured overseas since December.
"There is a sense at the moment that only
critical travel should take place," Lee said.
"In other words, courtesy travel and routine,
non-essential meetings of the past are curtailed
just because of the pervasive sense of global
economic conditions."
Most major U.S. carriers had looked to
international travel to prop up sagging domestic
results. Led by
Delta Air Lines and
United Airlines, they shifted
Boeing 757s and 767s from domestic flying to
trans-Atlantic and Latin American routes to take
advantage of the global economic boom that
peaked in 2007.
But that strategy isn't paying dividends in
recessionary times, and carriers soon will have
to decide whether to scale back their global
ambitions.
"I think it will be ugly," said Hubert Horan, an
aviation consultant who previously headed
international planning for Northwest Airlines
and who thinks a major restructuring is
inevitable.
"No one could have foreseen a year ago or three
years ago that we'd see this level of demand
decline, but they put themselves in a bad
situation by overexpanding," Horan said.
United's international revenue passenger miles,
a measure of miles flown per paying customer,
declined 22 percent in February.
American Airlines saw a 13 percent drop for
the month.
Both carriers have trimmed international
capacity, and a United spokeswoman said the
Chicago-based carrier is open to making deeper
cuts, if need be.
But a host of factors make it difficult to pull
back overseas flying. U.S. airlines are locked
into schedules created months ago, and they risk
losing landing slots worth millions of dollars
in capacity-constrained European airports such
as London
Heathrow and Frankfurt, Germany, with "use
it or lose it" policies.
"You can't turn a schedule on and off," said
Mary Frances Fagan, spokeswoman for American.
"Just because international traffic seems to
have taken a hit, we can't say we aren't going
to make those flights tomorrow."
